Blog

Original thinking on intelligence, markets, and technology. Not summaries. Not commentary. Arguments.

The Intelligence Economy23 min read

Sovereignty not included

Most of your AI risk sits outside your contract. This month, two of the eight levers stopped being hypothetical - here are the other six.

12 min read

Judgement. Exposed.

When agents do the work they absorb the context judgement is built from - leaving humans to decide more, and understand less.

5 min read

The Sovereignty Sieve

Proprietary intelligence is leaving your building through two doors. The front door you chose. The back door, nobody installed.

9 min read

When no one in the room knows the answer

Why the most expensive technology bet in modern history rests on a test most buyers have not run.

3 min read

What Love Teaches Us About AI

The most valuable thing two people build together is invisible. The same is true of AI. As intelligence commoditises, value migrates to the relationship layer - and love figured this out millennia ago.

9 min read

Railways or South Sea? Yes.

The AI economy is two business models pretending to be one. Enterprise AI is building railways. Consumer AI is the fog of freemium. The answer to which template fits is: yes.

5 min read

Your AI has amnesia

The firms pulling ahead with AI aren't using better models. They're building better institutional memory.

4 min read

Free is not a price

Free isn't a price. It's a regime change. When a credible free alternative arrives, premium pricing doesn't erode gradually. It shatters.

4 min read

Beyond intelligence

When machine reasoning is abundant, four things become scarce: judgment, trust, context, and orchestration. That's where the value lives.

4 min read

The AI rung gap

AI is repricing knowledge work on the same pattern as the power loom - but with a twist. The work being automated is the same work that trains the next generation of experts.

5 min read

China Shock 2.0

AI is producing the same asymmetry as the China Shock. But the commodity being redistributed isn't manufacturing labour. It's intelligence itself.